Prediction Market Intelligence

找到比市场更好的概率。

从 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的热门事件中,发现跨平台价差、赛事路径和数据驱动策略。看清策略怎么做、为什么可能有效,以及它承担什么风险。

真实数据来源 Kalshi / Polymarket 公共行情 · 更新于 10:28:04(每 30 秒自动刷新)
Live events tracked
1,551
Markets tracked
9,968
Active strategies
10
今日策略信号
1

正在发生的事件

60 个事件
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Polymarket
YES
8¢
NO
92¢
Volume $8.57M · —
体育 · 今天结算 · Live

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?

Polymarket
YES
42¢ −5.0¢
NO
58¢
Volume $902K · —
宏观 · 10月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
YES
88¢ +3.0¢
NO
12¢
Volume $15.01M · —
体育 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Polymarket
YES
74¢ +2.0¢
NO
26¢
Volume $6.32M · —
体育 · 5月30日结算 · Upcoming

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $33.27M · —
体育 · 7月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Polymarket
YES
10¢ +1.0¢
NO
90¢
Volume $1.39M · —
体育 · 10月26日结算 · Upcoming

Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet

Polymarket
Volume $1.06M · —
政治 · 10月28日结算 · Upcoming

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Polymarket
YES
28¢ −2.0¢
NO
72¢
Volume $9.51M · —
加密 · 今天结算 · Resolving soon

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?

Polymarket
YES
99¢ +14.0¢
NO
1¢
Volume $138K · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $54.44M · —
政治 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Polymarket
YES
82¢ +3.0¢
NO
18¢
Volume $4.88M · —
政治 · 10月26日结算 · Upcoming

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Polymarket
YES
7¢ +1.0¢
NO
93¢
Volume $957K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
36¢ −3.0¢
NO
64¢
Volume $2.70M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
YES
92¢ +1.0¢
NO
8¢
Volume $11.15M · —
政治 · 10月23日结算 · Upcoming

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $126K · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $54.89M · —
体育 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $3.24M · —
政治 · 4月19日结算 · Upcoming

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $6.97M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
YES
64¢ +1.0¢
NO
36¢
Volume $4.26M · —
政治 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
8¢ −1.0¢
NO
92¢
Volume $5.59M · —
加密 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
5¢ 0.0¢
NO
95¢
Volume $8.73M · —
宏观 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket
YES
8¢ −1.0¢
NO
92¢
Volume $1.72M · —
宏观 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?

Polymarket
YES
100¢ +22.0¢
NO
0¢
Volume $479K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $740K · —
市场 · 明天结算 · Upcoming

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?

Polymarket
YES
3¢ −31.0¢
NO
97¢
Volume $333K · —
加密 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Polymarket
YES
100¢
NO
0¢
Volume $6K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
26¢ +4.0¢
NO
74¢
Volume $3.01M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
14¢ +1.0¢
NO
86¢
Volume $5.37M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Polymarket
YES
3¢ +1.0¢
NO
97¢
Volume $293K · —
体育 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ −6.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $1.87M · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $44.55M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
18¢ +3.0¢
NO
82¢
Volume $2.92M · —
政治 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Polymarket
YES
88¢ +1.0¢
NO
12¢
Volume $2.66M · —
政治 · 11月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Polymarket
YES
36¢ −7.0¢
NO
64¢
Volume $753K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket
YES
2¢ 0.0¢
NO
98¢
Volume $44.51M · —
体育 · 11月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

Polymarket
YES
18¢ +1.0¢
NO
82¢
Volume $167K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
16¢ −1.0¢
NO
84¢
Volume $74.79M · —
政治 · 10月25日结算 · Upcoming

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Polymarket
YES
66¢ −4.0¢
NO
34¢
Volume $884K · —
体育 · 4月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $5.79M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
4¢ 0.0¢
NO
96¢
Volume $42.32M · —
政治 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Polymarket
YES
8¢ 0.0¢
NO
92¢
Volume $295K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
12¢ −1.0¢
NO
88¢
Volume $15.39M · —
体育 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Polymarket
YES
72¢ +3.0¢
NO
28¢
Volume $292K · —
市场 · 12月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Polymarket
YES
48¢ −2.0¢
NO
52¢
Volume $375K · —
加密 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
9¢ 0.0¢
NO
91¢
Volume $3.22M · —
市场 · 12月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi
YES
22¢ +4.0¢
NO
78¢
Volume $946K · —
政治 · 10月28日结算 · Upcoming

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Polymarket
YES
28¢ −1.0¢
NO
72¢
Volume $585K · —
宏观 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Polymarket
YES
74¢ +3.0¢
NO
26¢
Volume $1.44M · —
政治 · 10月28日结算 · Upcoming

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Polymarket
YES
6¢ −2.0¢
NO
94¢
Volume $417K · —
宏观 · 1月5日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
16¢ 0.0¢
NO
84¢
Volume $1.50M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
70¢ −1.0¢
NO
30¢
Volume $1.16M · —
市场 · 1月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $2.48M · —
政治 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Polymarket
YES
6¢ −2.0¢
NO
94¢
Volume $577K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
74¢ +1.0¢
NO
26¢
Volume $871K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Polymarket
YES
80¢ +2.0¢
NO
20¢
Volume $887K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
14¢ +1.0¢
NO
86¢
Volume $3.58M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
28¢ −2.0¢
NO
72¢
Volume $320K · —
市场 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Polymarket
YES
80¢ +6.0¢
NO
20¢
Volume $686K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
Volume $27.66M · —
政治 · 11月7日结算 · Upcoming

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi
YES
1¢ 0.0¢
NO
99¢
Volume $4.86M · —