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Event Intelligence
真实数据Polymarket

Iran leadership change by December 31?

政治 · Polymarket · 1535973 · 更新于 10:30:19

市场价格

YES 14¢ / 13¢
14¢ +1.0¢
NO
86¢
近 60 次快照走势 · 09:23:59 → 10:30:19
14¢14¢
总成交量$5.37M
24h 成交量$197K
距结算—
已采集快照1,664 条

结算规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

关联策略信号

当前没有涉及该市场的 open 信号。引擎每 60 秒扫描一次。

数据来自交易所公共行情,可能存在延迟或缺口,不构成投资建议。跨场所对比基于自动匹配(hard 表示标题与结算时间高度一致,soft 需人工核对结算条款)。实际交易前请考虑费用、流动性、结算规则、适用地区及自身风险承受能力。