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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

政治 · Polymarket · 559652 · 更新于 13:21:55

市场价格

YES 16¢ / 16¢
16¢ 0.0¢
NO
84¢
近 60 次快照走势 · 12:15:45 → 13:21:55
16¢16¢
总成交量$28.02M
24h 成交量$547K
距结算—
已采集快照1,817 条

跨场所价格对比

自动匹配
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?YES 16¢ (16¢/17¢)
hard 已审核 confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 10¢ (7¢/9¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 93¢ · 费用前价差 7¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 0¢ (0¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 5¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 1¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (3¢/3¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 87¢ · 费用前价差 13¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (1¢/2¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 86¢ · 费用前价差 14¢
查看该市场 →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?YES 3¢ (3¢/3¢)
待人工审核 confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d全包 87¢ · 费用前价差 13¢
查看该市场 →

结算规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

关联策略信号

当前没有涉及该市场的 open 信号。引擎每 60 秒扫描一次。

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数据来自交易所公共行情，可能存在延迟或缺口，不构成投资建议。跨场所对比基于自动匹配（hard 表示标题与结算时间高度一致，soft 需人工核对结算条款）。实际交易前请考虑费用、流动性、结算规则、适用地区及自身风险承受能力。