Strategy Guide

Term Structure Spread

Relative value · Multi-date events · High risk

What does it do?

Compare probabilities of the same theme across time windows — e.g. 'this month' versus 'this quarter'.

Why might it work?

Around news, data releases and catalysts, short- and long-dated probability curves can adjust out of sync.

Simplified example

Short-dated YES32¢

Long-dated YES45¢

Focuslogical nesting of the windows

Traderelative-value hedge

Strategy structure

Buythe cheaper horizon

Hedgethe more expensive horizon

Signalterm-structure dislocation

Fitsthemes with multiple date nodes

Main risks

Rule riskModel riskGap risk

Different horizons are not always strictly nested propositions. Verify deadlines, event definitions and settlement conditions.

Active signals

No open signals — the engine rescans every 60 seconds and surfaces opportunities automatically.

Model opinions, historical returns and community scores are no guarantee of results. Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.