← Back to events
Event Intelligence
Live dataPolymarket

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Politics · Polymarket · 1107878 · updated 10:31:36

Market price

YES
5¢ 0.0¢
NO
95¢
Total volume$3.64M
24h volume$6K
Settles in—
Snapshots collected0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Related signals

No open signals involve this market. The engine rescans every 60 seconds.

Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.