Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Crypto · Polymarket · 1144471 · updated 13:24:10

Market price

YES 3¢ / 3¢

3¢ 0.0¢

97¢

Last 60 snapshots · 12:18:00 → 13:24:10

Total volume$5.30M

24h volume$3K

Settles in—

Snapshots collected1,819

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.

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