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Iran leadership change by December 31?

Politics · Polymarket · 1535973 · updated 08:48:05

Market price

YES 14¢ / 13¢
14¢ +1.0¢
NO
86¢
Last 60 snapshots · 07:41:52 → 08:48:05
14¢15¢
Total volume$5.37M
24h volume$196K
Settles in—
Snapshots collected1,573

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related signals

No open signals involve this market. The engine rescans every 60 seconds.

Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.