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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics · Polymarket · 559653 · updated 13:24:10

Market price

YES 16¢ / 16¢

16¢ +1.0¢

NO

84¢

Last 60 snapshots · 12:18:00 → 13:24:10

Total volume$15.52M

24h volume$547K

Settles in—

Snapshots collected1,819

Cross-venue comparison

auto-matched

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?YES 13¢ (13¢/14¢)

hard · reviewed confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 98¢ · pre-fee spread 2¢

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KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 10¢ (7¢/9¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 93¢ · pre-fee spread 7¢

View market →

KalshiWill Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 10¢ (4¢/9¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 93¢ · pre-fee spread 7¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 9¢ (5¢/7¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 91¢ · pre-fee spread 9¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

View market →

KalshiWill Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 5¢ (1¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (3¢/9¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 93¢ · pre-fee spread 7¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 1¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

View market →

KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?YES 9¢ (8¢/9¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 93¢ · pre-fee spread 7¢

View market →

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related signals

No open signals involve this market. The engine rescans every 60 seconds.

Same-market pair Cross-venue spread

Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.