Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Politics · Polymarket · 665374 · updated 08:46:58

Market price

YES 16¢ / 15¢

16¢ −1.0¢

84¢

Last 60 snapshots · 07:40:45 → 08:46:58

Total volume$74.79M

24h volume$128K

Settles in—

Snapshots collected1,572

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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