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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics · Polymarket · 559652 · updated 11:39:52

Market price

YES 16¢ / 16¢
16¢ 0.0¢
NO
84¢
Last 60 snapshots · 10:33:41 → 11:39:52
16¢16¢
Total volume$28.02M
24h volume$569K
Settles in—
Snapshots collected1,726

Cross-venue comparison

auto-matched
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?YES 16¢ (16¢/17¢)
hard · reviewed confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 10¢ (7¢/9¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 93¢ · pre-fee spread 7¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 0¢ (0¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 5¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 1¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (3¢/3¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 87¢ · pre-fee spread 13¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢
View market →
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?YES 3¢ (3¢/3¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 87¢ · pre-fee spread 13¢
View market →

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related signals

No open signals involve this market. The engine rescans every 60 seconds.

Same-market pairCross-venue spread
Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.