← Back to events
Event Intelligence
Live dataPolymarket

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics · Polymarket · 561973 · updated 11:28:39

Market price

YES 2¢ / 2¢
2¢
NO
98¢
Last 60 snapshots · 10:22:25 → 11:28:39
2¢2¢
Total volume$9.66M
24h volume$187K
Settles in—
Snapshots collected1,716

Cross-venue comparison

auto-matched
KalshiWill Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?YES 2¢ (2¢/2¢)
hard · reviewed confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?YES 3¢ (2¢/2¢)
hard · reviewed confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill JD Vance and Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 5¢ (0¢/6¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 0¢ (0¢/3¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 6¢ (2¢/6¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (2¢/4¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Donald Trump and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (0¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (1¢/2¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?YES 2¢ (2¢/3¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0d
View market →
KalshiWill Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?YES 4¢ (4¢/4¢)
pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 98¢ · pre-fee spread 2¢
View market →

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related signals

No open signals involve this market. The engine rescans every 60 seconds.

Same-market pairCross-venue spread
Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.