Event Intelligence

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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics · Polymarket · 561975 · updated 10:49:23

Market price

YES 15¢ / 15¢

15¢ 0.0¢

85¢

Last 60 snapshots · 09:43:06 → 10:49:23

Total volume$10.91M

24h volume$181K

Settles in—

Snapshots collected1,681

Cross-venue comparison

auto-matched

KalshiWill Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?YES 17¢ (17¢/18¢)

hard · reviewed confidence 100 · auto: event_sim=100 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 98¢ · pre-fee spread 2¢

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KalshiWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 24¢ (24¢/28¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 91¢ · pre-fee spread 9¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 6¢ (6¢/10¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 95¢ · pre-fee spread 5¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 0¢ (0¢/3¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 88¢ · pre-fee spread 12¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 1¢ (1¢/3¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 88¢ · pre-fee spread 12¢

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KalshiWill Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (2¢/4¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 89¢ · pre-fee spread 11¢

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KalshiWill Thomas Massie and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 1¢ (0¢/1¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 86¢ · pre-fee spread 14¢

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KalshiWill Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 4¢ (0¢/4¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 89¢ · pre-fee spread 11¢

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KalshiWill Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 3¢ (0¢/3¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 88¢ · pre-fee spread 12¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 0¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 87¢ · pre-fee spread 13¢

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KalshiWill Donald Trump and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (0¢/2¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 87¢ · pre-fee spread 13¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio and Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?YES 2¢ (1¢/4¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 89¢ · pre-fee spread 11¢

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KalshiWill Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?YES 27¢ (26¢/27¢)

pending review confidence 87.5 · auto: event_sim=75 best_market_sim=100 close_diff=0dAll-in 89¢ · pre-fee spread 11¢

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Same-market pair Cross-venue spread

Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.