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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Markets · Polymarket · 716942 · updated 14:18:17

Market price

YES 7¢ / 7¢
7¢ 0.0¢
NO
93¢
Last 60 snapshots · 07:59:32 → 09:13:16
7¢7¢
Total volume$6.53M
24h volume$1K
Settles in—
Snapshots collected2,861

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Data comes from public exchange feeds and may be delayed or incomplete; nothing here is investment advice. Cross-venue comparisons rely on automated matching (hard = highly similar titles and settlement times; soft requires manual rule verification). Before trading, consider fees, liquidity, resolution rules, jurisdiction and your own risk tolerance.